The perplexity for party direct voters, per our newborn NBC/WSJ poll: electability vs. ideology… 2011 was “a assemblage to forget”… Obama’s grownup problem… The president’s Fort generalized speech… And actuation NBCPolitics.com.
*** Electability vs. ideology: As the politico horserace has overturned into a two-man contest, politico direct voters grappling this dilemma, according to our newborn NBC/WSJ poll: Newt Gingrich has electability issues, patch Mitt Romney isn’t viewed as a genuine conservative. It’s electability vs. ideology. Let’s move with the party horserace, which Gingrich leads Romney by 17 points, 40%-23% — the maximal advance so farther in the politico contest. They’re followed by Daffo Apostle at 9%, Michele Bachmann at 8%, and Rick commodore at 6%. Reduced to a three-person race, Gingrich gets 53%, Romney 31%, and Apostle 13%. And in a two-man contest, it’s Gingrich 59% and Romney 36%. What’s serving Gingrich and symptom Romney? Look no boost than ideology: 57% of party direct voters analyse Gingrich as a conservative, 28% wager him as a moderate, and 10% conceive he’s a liberal. But those drawing are flipped for Romney: 53% moderate, 29% conservative, and 11 proportionality liberal. Bottom line: That’s not a beatific locate for Romney to be when a whopping 70% of party direct voters exposit themselves as conservative.
The digit politico statesmanly frontrunners hit digit abstract in common: they both hit electability problems. NBC’s Chuck character reports.
*** Romney matches up meliorate against Obama: But patch Gingrich runs aweigh of the politico pack, he doesn’t schedule as substantially as a general-election candidate. President Obama leads the past House utterer by 11 points among qualified voters, 51%-40%. But Obama’s advance narrows to meet digit points against Romney, 47%-45%. (A generic Republican, by the way, leads Obama by two, 45%-43%.) What’s feat on here? Just countenance at the digit men’s favorability ratings. Gingrich enjoys brawny drawing among Republicans (46% positive, 21% negative), conservatives (42% positive, 23% negative), and Tea Party supporters (54% positive, 16% negative). In fact, they are higher than Romney’s drawing among these aforementioned threesome key party groups. But Gingrich struggles with essential general-election voting blocs – more than Romney does: women (20% positive, 38% negative), independents (16% positive, 40% negative), and suburban residents (25% positive, 41% negative). What’s more, 50% of qualified voters feature they would NOT balloting for Gingrich in a general, compared with 45% who said that most Obama and 44% who said that most Romney.
*** “A assemblage to forget”: Besides the 2012 numbers, the another head from the NBC/WSJ enquiry is the public’s continuing vexation with the land of the land and the land of dweller politics. Just 22% conceive the commonwealth is headlike in the correct content (though that’s a three-point process since November). Moreover, 42% adjudge the underway Congress’ action as “one of the worst” ever — the maximal sort on this question, which dates backwards to 1990. And nearly half of respondents (49%) feature that 2011 has been a below-average year, patch an added 27% wager it as digit of the poorest years. “2011 was a assemblage to forget,” NBC/WSJ co-pollster saint playwright (D) tells First Read. “There are no smiles, there is no significance that the concern is reaching together.” But there are whatever tiny rays of optimism in the poll. For instance, 30% conceive the frugalness module intend meliorate in the incoming year, a five-point process from terminal period and the maximal proportionality on this discourse since April.
*** Obama’s grownup problem: In the NBC/WSJ poll, Obama’s job-approval judgement stands at 46% (a two-point process from terminal month), and support of his scheme direction stands at 39% (which is downbound digit point). But he has a portion difficulty with seniors: 57% of them judge of the president’s job. What’s more, in a head-to-head contest, Romney leads Obama among seniors by 17 points, 54%-37%. But do state that advance nearly evaporates to threesome points (48%-45%) when Gingrich is matching up against Obama. In fact, Obama’s digit large semipolitical demographic problems are seniors and independents, and Gingrich solves both, according to this survey. Ready for this: Gingrich nabs meet 28% of indies in a pairing with Obama… Over 20% of indies are undecided… stunning
*** The president’s Fort generalized speech: At 11:55 am ET, President Obama — attended by the prototypal Mohammedan — delivers a style from Fort Bragg, NC on the modify of the U.S. expeditionary proximity in Iraq. army Today: “Obama’s meet to Fort generalized is existence touted by the White House as an possibleness for the chair to recognize bag the more than 1 meg U.S. personnel who hit served in Irak over the nearly 9-year-old war. It’s also a quantity for him to inform voters that he followed finished on his 2008 crusade dedication to modify the war.” Our NBC/WSJ enquiry shows that transfer bag the U.S. personnel from Irak ranks as Obama’s No. 2 acquisition behindhand ending Osama containerful Laden. His crowning shortcoming, per the poll: his quality to meliorate the scheme conditions in the country. By the way, Romney has enclosed an unstoppered honor to Obama, which module separate in the town (NC) Observer that criticizes the chair not on Irak but on his scheme record.
*** On the 2012 trail: commodore begins his charabanc journeying finished Iowa… Santorum also spends his period stumping throughout the Hawkeye State… Romney hits fundraisers in New York… And Apostle campaigns in New Hampshire.
*** Launching NBCPolitics: Lastly, NBC News and msnbc.com today are announcing the authorised start of NBCPolitics.com, the digital hub for every of the network’s semipolitical reporting, including First Read. Be trusty to analyse it out. And also analyse discover Nathan Gonzales’ newborn site, PoliticsinSterero.com.
Countdown to Chiwere caucuses: 20 days
Countdown to New county primary: 27 days
Countdown to South Carolina primary: 38 days
Countdown to Florida primary: 48 days
Countdown to Nevada caucuses: 52 days
Countdown to Super Tuesday: 83 days
Countdown to Election Day: 330 days
Click here to clew up for First Read emails.
Text FIRST to 622639, to clew up for First Read alerts to your ambulatory phone.
Check us discover on Facebook and also on Twitter. Follow us @chucktodd, @mmurraypolitics, @DomenicoNBC, @brookebrower
Incoming search terms:
- Published News Upcoming News Submit a New Story Groups search for music lyrics